How to pace the Tokyo Marathon
The Tokyo Marathon is a flat and fast marathon, with about 25 m of climbing and 61 m of descent (a net drop of 36 m). Pace it by even effort; on a course this flat, all but even splits will follow.
Sunday 7 March 2027
About 28 weeks away · 199 days · projected from the usual race weekend
Elevation gain
25m
Elevation loss
61m
Net change
-36m
Terrain
Flat
March
At the gun
9°C
~9:10am start
By the finish
12°C
warms through the morning
Humidity
59%
morning average
Conditions
Ideal
cool, fast racing weather
A thirty-year average for March, not a prediction. The real forecast appears here inside the last nine days.
3:30:45
The same effort as 3:30:57 on flat ground
Target pace
5:00/km
3:30:00 Tokyo +0:45 typical March = 3:30:45
▸Where that comes from
- Your goal for Tokyo
- 3:30:00
- Tokyo’s terrainshapes the splits, not the total
- —
- Typical March
- +0:45
- On the day
- 3:30:45
The net descent gives back about 57 seconds against flat ground.
9°C at the gun, 12°C by the finish. +0.4% adapted.
Tokyo, Japan
Hover the map or the profile, the other follows.
| Marker | Target pace | Clock | Terrain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 km | 4:55/km | 4:55 | flat |
| 2 km | 4:58/km | 9:53 | flat |
| 3 km | 4:44/km | 14:37 | -11 m |
| 4 km | 4:51/km | 19:28 | -7 m |
| 5 km | 4:53/km | 24:20 | flat |
| 6 km | 4:51/km | 29:11 | -6 m |
| 7 km | 4:59/km | 34:10 | flat |
| 8 km | 5:04/km | 39:15 | flat |
| 9 km | 5:00/km | 44:14 | flat |
| 10 km | 5:00/km | 49:14 | flat |
| 11 km | 4:58/km | 54:12 | flat |
| 12 km | 5:03/km | 59:15 | flat |
| 13 km | 5:03/km | 1:04:18 | flat |
| 14 km | 5:01/km | 1:09:19 | flat |
| 15 km | 5:06/km | 1:14:25 | flat |
| 16 km | 4:57/km | 1:19:22 | flat |
| 17 km | 4:57/km | 1:24:19 | flat |
| 18 km | 5:03/km | 1:29:22 | flat |
| 19 km | 5:01/km | 1:34:24 | flat |
| 20 km | 4:58/km | 1:39:22 | flat |
| 21 km | 5:00/km | 1:44:21 | flat |
| 22 km | 5:05/km | 1:49:26 | flat |
| 23 km | 4:59/km | 1:54:26 | flat |
| 24 km | 5:00/km | 1:59:26 | flat |
| 25 km | 5:05/km | 2:04:31 | flat |
| 26 km | 5:01/km | 2:09:32 | flat |
| 27 km | 4:57/km | 2:14:29 | flat |
| 28 km | 5:03/km | 2:19:32 | flat |
| 29 km | 5:02/km | 2:24:34 | flat |
| 30 km | 5:01/km | 2:29:35 | flat |
| 31 km | 4:59/km | 2:34:34 | flat |
| 32 km | 5:03/km | 2:39:36 | flat |
| 33 km | 5:01/km | 2:44:37 | flat |
| 34 km | 5:02/km | 2:49:39 | flat |
| 35 km | 5:01/km | 2:54:41 | flat |
| 36 km | 5:01/km | 2:59:42 | flat |
| 37 km | 5:02/km | 3:04:43 | flat |
| 38 km | 4:59/km | 3:09:42 | flat |
| 39 km | 5:01/km | 3:14:43 | flat |
| 40 km | 5:02/km | 3:19:45 | flat |
| 41 km | 4:59/km | 3:24:44 | flat |
| 42 km | 5:03/km | 3:29:47 | flat |
| Finish | 5:00/km | 3:30:45 | flat |
Even-effort splits distribute your goal time by the energy cost of each gradient (the Minetti grade-cost model), not an even pace. Wind, heat, turns, and your own downhill tolerance still apply, so run the climbs by feel and stay relaxed on the descents. Heat builds as you go, so treat the closing 10 km as a feel check rather than a pace target.
These exact splits as a structured workout: one step per kilometre, each with its target pace band (±10 s/km). Your watch prompts every step, so on race day you run the terrain, not the arithmetic.
Garmin needs a cable and a computer. In this file: 43 steps · every km · 3:30:00 goal · even effort · typical March conditions · per-km paces. Change anything above and download again.
You will need a USB cable and a computer. There is no way around that: Garmin has never built a way to send a workout to a watch from a phone, from Garmin Connect, or from any file you can email yourself. Everyone who makes these files, us included, has the same constraint.
- Download the file above on a computer.
- Plug the watch in by USB and wait for it to appear.
- Copy the file into GARMIN/NewFiles. If your watch has no NewFiles folder, use GARMIN/Workouts instead.
- Eject the watch and unplug it.
- On the watch, go to Training, then Workouts. It will be there under the name of this race.
On a Mac the watch mounts as a media device rather than a drive, so you will need a transfer app such as Android File Transfer to see those folders. Windows shows them in Explorer.
Dragging it into Garmin Connect or TrainingPeaks will not work, and it is worth knowing why. .fit is a container that holds several different kinds of file. A recorded run uploads to both of them happily, which is what those drop zones are built for. A workout is a different file type inside the same extension, and neither platform will import one.
Train for this course, not just the distance.
A coach builds the climbs and descents into your plan, and closer to the day you can sit down with Jason and settle how you will run it.
The coach's read
A flat, fast course with a gentle overall drop and only a few underpass dips and rises to break the rhythm. Pace it even, stay patient in the crowded opening kilometres, and let the slight downhill tendency work quietly for you late on.
WHY Allowing for a typical March day, that's about 5:01/km of effort the whole way, the splits below shift with the gradient, not your pace.
Pacing the Tokyo Marathon
A coach's read on how the Tokyo Marathon runs, and how to spend your effort across it.
Kilometre by kilometre
- There are no climbs to plan around: the profile stays within a narrow band the whole way, so the course runs as a flat, even-effort race.
- Where you get it back: 2.4–5.6 km (-27 m down). Let these run without braking or hammering: relaxed, quick feet.
How to pace the Tokyo Marathon
- Read the course before race day. Flat and fast, gentle net drop. A flat, fast course with a gentle overall drop and only a few underpass dips and rises to break the rhythm.
- Pace by effort, not just the watch. Set the effort you can hold for the whole marathon, then let the pace flex with the ground: a little slower up, a little faster down, the same effort throughout.
- Hold it steady and even. With no real hills to plan around, the win is discipline: settle on your goal pace early, hold it through the middle, and avoid the temptation to surge.
- Plan your finish. Pace it even, stay patient in the crowded opening kilometres, and let the slight downhill tendency work quietly for you late on.
Tokyo Marathon, answered
- Is the Tokyo Marathon hilly?
- No, it's a flat course, with only about 25 m of total climbing over the 42.2 km. There's nothing in the terrain you need to pace around.
- How should I pace the Tokyo Marathon?
- The Tokyo Marathon is a flat and fast marathon, with about 25 m of climbing and 61 m of descent (a net drop of 36 m). Pace it by even effort; on a course this flat, all but even splits will follow.
- Is the Tokyo Marathon a good course for a PB?
- Yes. It's flat and fast, so on a calm day it's one of the better courses for a personal best. The limiter is your fitness and pacing discipline, not the terrain.
- How much elevation gain does the Tokyo Marathon have?
- About 25 m of total gain and 61 m of loss over the 42.2 km, modelled from a community route trace pending the official figures.
The pacing above is free. The judgement is the part worth paying for.
This page knows the Tokyo Marathon. It does not know you. Two or three weeks out, Jason reads your last twelve weeks and spends 60 minutes going through the day with you, then writes it down so you are not running on memory.
- An honest read on what your training says you can hold
- How to spend your effort across this course, and where it is won
- Fuelling and conditions, decided before you are standing on the line
A$180
One session, one race. Video call, or in person in Sydney.
Your race is still a way off. Worth knowing about now, worth booking about eight weeks out.

Train for Tokyo. Not just the distance.
A coach builds this course's climbs, descents and race-day pacing into a plan made for you.
